Taiwan’s Fate Is Sealed | William Thomas Online | William Thomas

Taiwan’s Fate Is Sealed

When the US says it will “stand by you” — as it has in Vietnam, Afghanistan, Syria, Libya, Ukraine and Taiwan — run run run the other way. 

Like a thief in the night, U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi arrives in Taipei, Taiwan, Tuesday, Aug. 2, 2022.

Like a thief in the night, U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi arrives in Taipei, Taiwan, Tuesday, Aug. 2, 2022


by William Thomas

Aug. 2, 2022

Though Pelosi’s plane touched down gracefully at Songshan International Airport, that landing had a “severe impact on the political foundation of China-US relations,” China’s foreign ministry has protested.

     “Our Congressional delegation’s visit to Taiwan honors America’s unwavering commitment to supporting Taiwan’s vibrant Democracy,” Pelosi said in a statement after landing this evening (China time) in Taipei. America’s top wayward drunk declared that her discussions with Taiwan's leaders will focus on “reaffirming our support for our partner.” France nearly made a similar statement to the rebellious US Confederacy. But Paris had enough sense to back away.  

    Toward the end of her speech alongside Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen, Pelosi blurted: “In our earliest days at our founding of our country, Benjamin Franklin, our presidency, said, freedom and democracy.” 

     President Benji? 

     “Freedom and democracy, one thing, security here. If we don’t have — we can’t have either, if we don’t have both,” Nancy told her puzzled hosts, despite their having practiced with frequent word salads from Joe and Kamala.

     As the highest ranking US official in 25 years to visit the Republic of China (Taiwan’s offical name) , the Speaker of the US House or Representatives is certainly making a splash — with the armed might of two superpowers redeploying, officials bloviating, and New Yorkers rushing to buy extra canned Spam. Only to find it under lock-and-key.

     Imagine if the Chinese military went into Puerto Rico or some other part of the US territories,” suggests Tim Anderson, who heads the Centre for Counter Hegemonic Studies.




Taipei is now upset after 21 Chinese military aircraft entered its Air Defense Identification Zone. China has also closed airspace above the Taiwan Strait to all civilian aircraft. Adhering to international air regulations, after departing Kuala Lumpur, SPAR 19 detoured around the Philippines to Taiwan, where it became “the most watched aircraft in the world,” as 345,000 people watched a moving map display of Pelosi's plane on Flightradar24 with all the avidity of spectators at a gladiator match.

     So far, this entire brinkwomanship stunt has been just another distracting “circus” without the bread. Right up to the point where someone afloat or aloft loses it. Or simply miscalculates.

     According to Financial Times, Biden dispatched senior officials, including national security adviser Jake Sullivan, to lay out the risks to Pelosi. But “she had decided to press ahead with the landmark trip.”

     Why? To humiliate China.

Playing with Taiwan matches -Global Times

Playing with Taiwan matches -Global Times


If Pelosi wanted to visit Taiwan, she could have just turned up, giving China no time to object,” suggests Michael Every of Rabobank. “I just got a message from a China-following friend with close contacts on the mainland who track local social media: ‘The smell of war is so potent’.”

     State media also broadcast footage of a Chinese destroyer firing its weapons in the South China Sea. Meanwhile, the Chinese aircraft carriers, Liaoning and Shandong have left their ports and are assumed to be steaming towards the strait off western Taiwan. Four US warships, including the carrier Ronald Reagan, are currently stationed in waters east of Taiwan.

     Both Chinese warships and aircraft have been “squeezing” the median line since Tuesday morning, an “unusual move” according to Reuters, as neither side’s warplanes  normally cross the line.

     Additionally, residents of the southeastern city of Xiamen, which hosts the closest major miltary base to Taiwan, are posting cellphone video showing Chinese armor moving past bathers on the beach.

     The White House has dismissed these threats as “saber rattling” — after scrubbing references to the One China Policy from the State Department website, and urging Lithuania to open a “Taiwan representative office”. 

     In bringing down the house, the Speaker of the House promised that Washington “will not abandon” its commitment to Taiwan — “one of the freest socieites in the world” — by backing its “democratic administration" against “authoritarian” nations. 

     Those little zappers must really resonate in Beijing.  

     For the moment, alarming predictions of an open clash between the Eagle and the Dragon are unlikely to materialize, opines Hong Kong-based China strategist Andrew Leung. Anti-China politicians in the US may hope that Beijing would do “something rash” in response to Pelosi’s trip, but the Chinese government won’t fall for it, Leung figures.



According to the state-run Global Times, in the middle of the night, local time, "China's Vice Foreign Minister Xie Feng summoned US Ambassador to China Nicholas Burns overnight to protest against US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan Island.” Xie Feng stressed that Pelosi's visit is “extremely vicious” and the consequence(s) “very grave." With China-US relations “seriously” damaged, China's number two Foreign Minister told the American ambassador, “the US must pay the price for its own mistake." 

     That cost will involve “necessary and resolute countermeasures.” Because “we mean what we say.” Such resolute retaliation involves “criminal penalties” for outspoken Taiwanese separatists, Hong Kong-style. Plus an immediate halt to key exports of silica-quartz sands needed by Taiwan's chipmakers for a microchip-famished world. 

     This, for starters.

     “The Taiwan Strait is facing a new round of tensions and severe challenges, and the fundamental cause is the repeated moves by the Taiwan authorities and the United States to change the status quo,” reads the official statement by China’s Foreign Ministry. 

     Lest anyone think the presence crisis is “over”, China is launching a major military drill from August 4-7 to encircle an island, whose 12-mile territorial waters and airspace already been violated. This unprecedented action “severely violates our country’s territorial sovereignty,” the ROC National Defense Ministry complained. 

     But Beijing has always viewed Taiwan and its environs as Chinese territory. 

     Could those PLA “drills” morph into a full-on blockade? According to the Taipei press, Taiwan is already negotiating alternative aviation routes with Japan and the Philippines. But this may not be safe enough, as Beijing is promising to  fire conventional missiles over Taiwanese heads

     Taiwan’s National Defense Ministry says it will respond to China’s military with its military. Does this mean it's game on, after all?

     Probably not. At least, not right this minute. 

     China isn’t that stupid going to war over Nancy Pelosi, Fomenko believes. “Taiwan’s leaders perceive that threats by Beijing are merely a bluff. They see this effort as creating a slow change towards a formally independent Taiwan, with China only able to rage at it from the sidelines,” adds this political analyst. “The issue is going on a slow march to war.”


Pelosi's ROC visitation was a “clear provocation” that has zero to do with supporting democracy, the Kremlin figures. But despite the ensuing surge in US-China animosity, the stunt is unlikely to lead to major hostilities, says the  spokesman for the Russian president’s office. Instead, Dmitry Peskov suggests “not to throw around words as serious” as ‘global war’.” 

     He quickly added, “Underestimating the level of tension sparked by this visit” is not advisable either.” 


“China backed down and Nancy doddered off the plane. Why China would undermine its credibility with seemingly hollow threats is a lingering question,” comments the former CIA analyst Larry Johnson. “Maybe China will cut back on the monthly allowance paid to Hunter and Joe Biden.” 

    Biden DoD spokesman John Kirby has uselessly reiterated that the United States’ “does not support Taiwan’s independence.” 

    Hollow words, as far as Beijing is concerned. 

    Whatever, says Johnson. "Pelosi’s safe arrival in Taipei is still a black eye for mainland China. A humiliation in fact. Remains to be seen what China will do, if anything, to recover face.”


“When it comes to hot war it looks like humanity’s better angels have prevailed for now,” writes one of the web’s best commentators from Melbourne. “None of this makes it acceptable for the world’s most powerful government to send a politician whose brains are leaking out her ears to try to stir up hostilities under cover of its military forces.

     “The world is a worse place now than it was before Pelosi’s plane touched down. Less safe, less wealthy, less kind, and more frightening. Not one ordinary person has benefitted from her insanely hawkish provocation made in her final years on this earth, especially not the people of Taiwan."


Meanwhile, this damn dangerous posturing continues. Come Wednesday, Will Pelosi “do a Harris” and say something as incendiary as the VP at the Munich Security meeting telling Ukraine it was welcome to join NATO? That comment made up Putin’s mind to launch his Special Military Operation invasion of Ukraine 10 days later.

     Even before she opens her meandering mouth tomorrow, Pelosi’s provocation has already sealed Taiwan’s fate. Beijing now understands that under US urging, its breakaway province will declare its independence sooner rather than never. 

     The instant Pelosi's plane landed in Taipei, all reluctance to retake Taiwan by force shifred to resolve. So give Nancy her due for dooming the Taiwanese…

     It’s what we’ve all been dreading for years, a massive military attack by an aggressive, repressive, authoritarian China,” writes Jay Degroot in Taipei. “One minute, we’re peacefully going about our business in this free, democratic, and basically humane country, Taiwan. The next, life is turned upside down. Bombs are dropped and missiles launched, causing death and destruction to people, property – and maybe the entire Taiwan dream.” 

     In additon to this accomplishment, the Speaker who ignored her own government’s PR  against this particular photo op has forged and likely formalizing an even stronger alliance between two superpowers who face the same White House vow to wipe them out. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov has reaffirmed that Russia stands “in absolute solidarity with China.”

     But Sun Tzu never recommended atomic suicide. 

     Instead, the nation that makes virtually everything and bankrolls the US debt could “go nuclear” without firing a shot.  “New sanctions have been tabled on Taipei in retaliation for being complicit in the visit, which have amounted to a sweeping ban on food exports from 100 companies," Fomenko reports. And that’s just against Taiwan. The dementia patients running the Washington asylum must have forgotten that many US supply chains lead to China... 

     “With the flick of a pen, Chinese officials could seriously upset the US economy, exacerbate inflation and send Biden’s Democrats packing in this year’s midterm elections, which would also mean dethroning Nancy Pelosi as speaker,” comments American political commentator, Bradley Blankenship.

     Beijing has been quietly unloading US dollars for months. With sanctions on Russia boomeranging back to hurt Americans and crush Europe, an all-out China-US sanctions fight will destroy the global economy as effectively as a full-on war. 

     That’s likely coming, as well. Mirroring Russian realizations, China now views a shootout with the United States as inevitable. Someone has to put down the mad dog that America has become. Before it devours us all.

     Americans included.


Washington can forget about asking for any more favors from its principle creditor.  Whatever happens next — or does not happen immediately — Beijing is now convinced that a totally two-faced US will recognize Taiwan. That will mean war. But right now the mandarins have an even bigger problem: after all their bluster, 1.2 billion people are expecting forthright action. Very soon, they will be demanding payback. And sinking an American carrier has long been among the most fervid Chinese dreams. 

     Revved-up by war rehetoric, the angry street protests over intolerable “zero-tolerance” covid policies and banks keeping depositers' money have been temporarily redirected at the barabrians. But countrywide loyalty to authority carries a price, Confuciuous reminds us. That authority must deliver on security. And never lose face. After diverting all those yuan for an elaborately paraded military, if the Chinese people are told to accept their nation’s latest and perhaps deepest humiliation — and worse, cede a part of China to an independent Taiwan — the “CP” part of CCP will be swept away.

     Tonight, Xi and every official in his realm know one thing for certain: 

     This isn’t over.

Hypersonic "carrier killer" missile firing -PLA Navy

Aug. 3 Update

As Nancy’s Grand Asian Adventure continues, this high ranking US official has just hopped over to Seul, where South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol will not meet with her. The  snub came despite Nance sporting Taiwan’s highest civilian medal: the Order of Propitious Clouds & Rain

     Hope I’ve got that right! 


“RESIST MUCH, OBEY LITTLE”   发件人     William Thomas 2023